ValidationEmerging Pattern

Use pre-mortem black hat technique to surface hidden assumptions before investing months in execution

At program kickoff, ask: Assume it is one year from now and we have failed. What went wrong? This uncovers 5-10 major assumptions.

When to use

At the start of any new marketing program expected to generate significant ongoing revenue

Don't do this

Jumping straight into execution with an optimistic mindset without articulating what must be true

2 Founders Who Did This

1
Mutinyby Jaleh Rezaei

Used 90-minute black hat sessions at program kickoff for partner program to surface assumptions about market size and pricing.

Result:Team identified potential potholes before wasting months in execution
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2
Personaby Rick Song

Applied pre-mortem black hat technique to every major decision, systematically asking 'why would this NOT work?' before investing time in execution

Result:Built Persona to 10x revenue growth and $50M Series B by making better-informed decisions at each step
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