Evaluate decision quality by the process used, not just the outcome achieved
Good decisions can have bad outcomes and bad decisions can have good outcomes. Judging decisions solely by results teaches the wrong lessons - you might attribute success to skill when it was luck. Evaluate the quality of the decision-making process and learn from aggregate outcomes over time.
When to use
When reviewing past decisions, conducting post-mortems, or building a culture of learning from experience
Don't do this
Resulting - concluding that a decision was right because it worked out, or wrong because it didn't, without examining the process
1 Founder Who Did This
Drawing from Annie Duke's poker frameworks, Weiss teaches teams that evaluating themselves based on single outcomes draws spurious conclusions - like attributing a winning poker hand to skill when you just got lucky with the final cards